Mariano Kestelboim vs Andrea Collarini Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Andrea Collarini has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 45.65% over the last six months compared to Mariano Kestelboim's 40.78%. Does this indicate a stronger serve game for Collarini? It seems likely.
• In recent return game statistics, Collarini has secured 49.72% of points on opponent's second serves, while Kestelboim has managed 44.74%. This suggests Collarini might be more adept at taking advantage of weaker serves.
• The first serve return percentages show Kestelboim has a slight advantage with 33.00% over Collarini's 31.25%. Could this influence the match outcome? Possibly, but the margin is small.
• Under pressure, Collarini has saved 52.38% of breakpoints, narrowly outperforming Kestelboim who has saved 49.83%. This could be crucial in tight situations.
• Over the past year, Kestelboim boasts a higher match win percentage at 59.09% compared to Collarini's 53.62%, indicating possibly better overall form.
• Both players excel on clay, winning 59% of their career matches on this surface, so there might not be a significant advantage here.
• Analyzing player levels over the last year in Challengers/ITF tournaments, Kestelboim has a marginally better win rate (54.90%) than Collarini (54.39%). Is this difference enough to sway the prediction? Not substantially.
• Collarini leads their head-to-head record, securing two of the three matches they have played, including their most recent encounter.
• Collarini has generally faced higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 301.42, suggesting exposure to tougher competition compared to Kestelboim’s average of 371.77.
• In decider sets, Kestelboim has a higher success rate, winning 60% compared to Collarini’s 46%. This could be vital if the match reaches a deciding set.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

Andrea Collarini and Mariano Kestelboim both bring notable strengths into this matchup, with Collarini showing a stronger second serve and more effective return game, especially against second serves. These edges could prove vital in controlling the overall pace and scoring opportunities in the match.

Kestelboim's slight advantage on first serve returns and his ability to win deciding sets provide him with critical tools for recovery and pressure situations. His higher win rate over the past year suggests he's in slightly better overall form.

With Collarini's experience on clay and an advantage in their head-to-head encounters, he has demonstrated the ability to capitalize on these situations. Considering these factors and the pressure-related stats, Andrea Collarini appears to hold a narrow edge and is slightly favored to win the upcoming match against Mariano Kestelboim.